The Safety of Base Rates

History can help you improve your decisions

Darren Matthews
2 min readApr 26, 2022

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Image from Canva.com

We live in a world with an overriding wealth of information on the dangers of smoking, drinking — and eating fast food. And yet, we will still focus on the guy who lived to 101 even though he smoked, drank and ate mostly fast food. Even though he is the exception, we still prefer his story.

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Darren Matthews

Following my curiosity — which is decision-making — and sharing what I learn along the way